Conor here: Reality shatters the Western narrative:
Further Russian advances were made west of Kostyantynivka and the city was 90% captured and there were no stable Ukrainian positions.
The remaining 10% is gray or not covered.
The Ukrainian control area went west towards Osykove. pic.twitter.com/DRYo1l8R4M
— CalibratedMaps (@Calibrated_Maps) July 4, 2026
Konstantinovka is the largest city captured by Russia since Mariupol in 2022.
Despite all the distractions the story remains the same, which leads to one question: where will the attacks to “weaken and divide” Russia come from when Ukraine is defeated? There are plenty to choose from. Will the Azovs stay behind and fight a guerilla campaign, or will they bring their ‘technology’ to neighboring countries in the Baltics and elsewhere in Europe? Or to put it another way, when do false flags begin in earnest:
Yesterday’s headlines around the world based on Onet reporting suggested that Russia is preparing to attack Poland to test Article 5 of NATO. I’m trying to figure out what, if anything, was really new.
The important point in the report is not that Russia can do limited… pic.twitter.com/ywPG3LFDlU
— Stuart Dowell (@StuartDowell_) July 4, 2026
By Andrew Korybko, an American political analyst based in Moscow who focuses on the transition of the global system to multipolarity in the New Cold War. He has a PhD from MGIMO, which is under the umbrella of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Originally published on his website.
Taken together, Ukraine’s new three-pronged infowar campaign on the battlefield sees it downplaying Russia’s global advantages as expanding the “gray zone”, potentially planning more terrorist attacks and symbolic incursions as distractions, and lying about its success.
Putin visited the forward post on Friday where he will hold a briefing with senior military officials on the latest developments in the special operation. The most reported seizure was the confirmation that Konstantinovka, an important part of the Northern Donbass fortress agglomeration, was taken from Ukraine. In contrast, it is largely ignored in Ukraine’s new three-pronged infowar campaign about the battlefield that Russia has recently revealed, which this piece will review and analyze.
Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov began by talking about how “the regime in Kiev wants to convince its Western sponsors that it has taken a step towards us and is making great progress on the battlefield. So far, it is conducting an information campaign, where it shows the supposed success of the Ukrainian Armed Forces formations, while hiding the neutral areas that have been moved to the Russian military ‘space.'”
This was followed later by two warnings related to Putin. Regarding the first one, he said, “Now, regarding the success of the enemy on the battlefield, we must, first of all, remember that, in order to strengthen their myths and lies, their false claims, the enemy may carry out certain acts of destruction and terrorism, start torture, although in small groups, but with great propaganda, to confirm these possible allegations.”
Then he went into the second by talking about “the bravura statements of the leaders of the Kiev government about the success that we know do not exist, in fact, for our benefit, since they are players, and they really know nothing, and they have never been taught anything.
Taken together, Ukraine’s new three-pronged infowar campaign on the battlefield sees it downplaying Russia’s global advantages as expanding the “gray zone”, potentially planning more terrorist attacks and symbolic incursions as distractions, and lying about its success. The first one was already visible among those who carefully read the maps produced by pro-Kiev accounts, while the second terrorist situation is already continuing in Ukraine for strikes against Russia.
The offensive element may take the form of another Kursk-like cross-border campaign against Russia and/or Belarus, the latter of which has recently occurred in the cross-border areas of Ukraine, while outright lies about Ukraine’s own success are common but may become more common. The main context within this new infowar campaign concerns Zelensky’s publicly announced 40-day operation against Russia aimed at forcing it to end the conflict.
Seeing as how Gerasimov has also said that recent Russian strikes are damaging Ukraine’s long-range strike capabilities, the only real threat posed by Ukraine’s new infowar campaign is terrorist strikes on border areas and other Kursk-like attacks. It is not possible to automatically fail, so it is possible that these threats will happen in the future, but the viewers should remember that they are more for show than strategy and that Ukraine is not really winning.
